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June 22, 2010

There's Only One Reason to Keep McChrystal
Posted by David Shorr

While it't true that no one is irreplacable, at this level no one is interchangeable either. Purely on the merits, the shocking displays of disrespect in the Rolling Stone article reveal an attitude that's hard to square with the leadership with which Gen. McChrystal's been entrusted. If he were in any other command, it wouldn't be worth debating. This episode represents a very troubling distortion of the military's relationship to civilian decision-making and the political process, and the only counterbalancing consideration worth considering is what McChrystal's removal would mean for the mission and the president's strategy.

Basically it comes down to Matt's contention that "the military can easily continue to pursue a McChrystal-style strategy on both the Afghan and US media fronts under different leadership" versus Shadi's view that "firing McChrystal would undermine that [COIN] strategy in a serious way." Unlike Shadi, I don't care about Gen. McChrystal's symbolic value as the standard-bearer for counterinsurgency doctrine. I sympathize with Shadi's concern about upholding the ideas of a population-centric approach, but at that level, I think McChrystal is replaceable, and at any rate, it's not reason enough to let the general's actions stand.

So the only reason to keep McChrystal in place is if and only if removing him would be a greater disruption to the current operation and strategy than retaining him; if he's replaceable, he should be replaced. And I think it's important to acknowledge that, given the attitudes expressed in the article, keeping him in place itself represents a disruption. Is it reasonable for all these other players to forgive and forget? In fact, the strongest argument for leaving McChrystal in place is one Spencer gives: "it’s on him to repair his relationship with his colleagues and his bosses." I mean can we please get some ****ing teamwork here?

And even if McChrystal stays, we really need to use this as a teachable moment. It's unseemly as hell the way these guys are talking about the political and policy process. You know, I might be open to the "blowing off steam" argument, if this didn't look like a more structural problem in the civil-military relationship. Take Kori Schake's very cogently presented arguments, for instance. Kori offers some useful reminders of how things look from the military side. I find these points persuasive until I start to worry that they give the military a carte blanche. Where are the limits of the following argument:

McChrystal's comments are not particularly wide of the norm -- this is what war-fighters sound like when they're talking to each other. It's not polite, and it certainly isn't politically correct, but these are people doing deadly work. They develop cynical attitudes about civilians and our often impractical ideas. They do not feel understood, much less appreciated, by the political wheelers and dealers in Washington, and politically-motivated attacks on McChrystal will aggravate that. Let us not forget George Orwell's caution that "we sleep safe in our beds because rough men stand ready in the night to visit violence on those who would do us harm." This is what rough men sound like, and we shouldn't want to wring that toughness out of them. They will not long remain a war-winning army if we do.

This cannot be a one-way street. We expect roughness to be tempered by basic discipline under the laws of war and all the more so under counterinsurgency doctrine. Why, then, is respect for politicians and policy makers somehow inimical to the will to fight? And let's recall, we're not talking about front-line soldiers -- and Kori makes great points about McChrystal's leadership of the fighters under his command and eloquent defense of restrained force -- shouldn't we expect these guys to show basic respect for their civilian colleagues?

What troubles me the most is the undercurrent that these guys know best, and everyone else is wrong and an idiot. Take this quote about Amb. Eikenberry, "here's one that covers his flank for the history books. Now if we fail, they can say, 'I told you so.'" Once the president made his decision last fall, and it went another way than Eikenberry pushed, I hope he's working for its success. But dismissing his earlier advocacy as mere posturing for posterity sounds really chilling to me. Like most of us, I have been a disappointment to Michael -- being ready to give the strategy more of a chance to work. But all these things McChrystal's team are saying make me really concerned that they're blind to the possibility of failure. If that's the case, then as the old song goes, next stop is Vietnam.

Last point. The following, almost off-handed, line in Hastings' piece also caught my attention:

Part of the problem is structural. The Defense Department budget exceeds $600 billion a year, while the State Department receives only $50 billion.

I have absolutely no doubts about General McChrystal's dedication to his soldiers and his understanding of what they're confronting every day. But you can't read the article without also being struck by the bubble within which the commander operates -- the staff at his disposal, the infrastructure that supports his travel. I remember an item from an old NY Times Magazine annual ideas issue about "acquired situational narcisism." It raised the question with regard to celebrities, if the world treats you as if you are the center of the universe, won't you start to believe it?

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Although there is plenty to disagree with over McChrystal's behavior, I would like to point out one truth presently overlooked - McChrystal's honesty. It's a bad idea to air political grievances in a magazine, but consider the alternative. Washington has instituted a blackout on Afghanistan coverage, and if McChrystal doesn't make these outbursts, like in London during Obama's review, the US people would have even less information to go on. Buried in the article is McChrystal's persistent belief that he sold an unsellable strategy last fall and is still pursing one now. The White House wants to keep this in house to protect its strategy - a failing strategy. Personally I don't care whether McChrystal stays or goes because the next general won't be much different, but I'm relatively thankful that he can't keep his true feelings private.

America needs a change in strategy, not in generals. It must decide whether to commit fully to the war or begin systemic withdrawal. Full-spectrum COIN can work in Afghanistan, it just hasn't been implemented properly. For example, McChrystal didn't try to convince the US people that Karzai was a changed man or Pakistan had switched sides - that was the White House and Gates. That's where the real problems lie.

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What troubles me the most is the undercurrent that these guys know best, and everyone else is wrong and an idiot.

Well, those undercurrents are going to get ever swifter and stronger the longer this idiotic war goes on, David. Statesmen have long known the risk to the nation posed by leaving powerful armies of men out in the field, far away from home, emboldened by the security of their weapons, inflamed by comradeship in arms, and unyoked from submission to domestic law and order by their too-long removal from constraining bands of civilian society.

When I read in the Rolling Stone article about McChrystal and his band of merry men, it reminds me of Colonel Kurtz and his sycophantic coterie of worshipers in Heart of Darkness. Maybe McChrystal would now prefer to be Sultan and High Warlord of the narco-state of Afghanistan, rather than a mere American general. And given the instances of debauchery and insubordination that have been already been exposed to us, visible even way back here in America, who knows what other forms of mutinous turpitude are taking place under the rule of Stanley of Afghanistan and the doper-President Karzai.

Nine years at war in the country of Afghanistan. Nine years! In Afghanistan! A country without any military capability to speak of, and whose alleged phantom terrorists haven't pulled off a successful caper in the US since 2001. Future historians will fall off their chairs laughing at us.

The whole "counterinsurgency" has degenerated into one of the most absurd snipe-hunts, and misconceived and extravagant government projects in history. Barack Obama will surely rue the day he decided to let the same crackpot liberal voices who enthused us into the Iraq War in 2003 write and execute the foreign policies for his new presidency, and promptly drive his administration off the road and into the bogs. The cynical and conniving part of me thinks I should be happy, since this adventure is turning into a reductio ad absurdum of your brand of eager-beaver, military-juiced, interventionist liberalism, with its outlandish fantasies of global counterinsurgency, state-building from scratch and ideological re-education of the savages. When this mishigas is finally over, the neoliberals of the Clinton-Holbrooke-Obama-Shorr school will be discredited and humiliated, and the left might be empowered again in the United States.

But somehow I can't take any comfort at all from the destruction you and your Beltway think-tank establishment Democratic colleagues are wreaking on the health of the United States. We're all going to have hell to pay for these asinine follies abroad. And after you finally succeed in turning Barack Obama into Lyndon Johnson II, those follies might very well might be the death blow for the Democratic Party.

The premise for a chastened McChrystal is that he has (to put it in Twelve Step terms) hit bottom with the intoxicant of his megalomania, and I think Ackerman's scenario is plausible. If you're right that McChrystal doesn't "do" chastened, he's got to go.

Sorry you've given up on us and foresee such dire consequences. Speaking for myself, not open-ended means not open-ended. For me, the time to conclude this isn't working has not come yet, but if things don't turn around, that time will come. But as you see it, the die is already cast.

For me, the time to conclude this isn't working has not come yet, but if things don't turn around, that time will come.

David, the war has gone on nearly nine years! Don't you see something preposterous in that? How many years does it go before you conclude things aren't turning around? 18? 27?

As far as I know McChrystal developed much of the war plan that Obama adopted last year. That includes a pledge to start withdrawing troops in July of 2011, little more than another year away.

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Whatever the reason be but we can not forget that McChrystal failed a test of leadership, judgment, and respect for his role in a democratic government.

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``The garden in which stands my humble abode is separated only by a lane from Rosings Park, her ladyship's residence.''
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``Ah!'' cried Mrs. Bennet, shaking her head, ``then she is better off than many girls. And what sort of young lady is she? is she handsome?''
``She is a most charming young lady indeed. Lady Catherine herself says that in point of true beauty, Miss De Bourgh is far superior to the handsomest of her sex; because there is that in her features which marks the young woman of distinguished birth. She is unfortunately of a sickly constitution, which has prevented her making that progress in many accomplishments which she could not otherwise have failed of; as I am informed by the lady who superintended her education, and who still resides with them. But she is perfectly amiable, and often condescends to drive by my humble abode in her little phaeton and ponies.''
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``Has she been presented? I do not remember her name among the ladies at court.''
``Her indifferent state of health unhappily prevents her being in town; and by that means, as I told Lady Catherine myself one day, has deprived the British court of its brightest ornament. Her ladyship seemed pleased with the idea, and you may imagine that I am happy on every occasion to offer those little delicate compliments which are always acceptable to ladies. I have more than once observed to Lady Catherine that her charming daughter seemed born to be a duchess, and that the most elevated rank, instead of giving her consequence, would be adorned by her. -- These are the kind of little things which please her ladyship, and it is a sort of attention which I conceive myself peculiarly bound to pay.''

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