Kandahar Cluster**** Watch - The Lessons of Marjah Version Posted by Michael Cohen

C.J Chivers is an extraordinarily brave man and a helluva reporter - and his latest update from Marja is harrowing and a fascinating piece of reporting. Embedded with a Marine unit patrolling in Marja we get a clear sense of how tenuous that supposedly cleared village remains.

But also Chivers produces a quote from a Marine Corporal that pretty much serves as an allegory for the entire dubious mission in southern Afghanistan:

“Just give us a couple of weeks and we’ll win their hearts and minds,” he said, and shook his head.

What more can you say?

Indeed, what is happening in Marjah should be a giant, wake-up call to the US military about the follies of trying to stabilize and pacify southern Afghanstan when operating under a timeframe where the beginning of US troops withdrawals are only 14 months away. It's a point Chivers hammers on in his article:

Whatever the anticipated pace of an expected American-led push into Taliban strongholds in Kandahar Province, even the most determined effort to defeat the Taliban and drug traffickers where they are deep-rooted will require substantial resources and time.

Months after the carefully planned offensive here, large areas of terrain are not fully cleared. In these areas, fighting continues. And while clearly punishing for the Taliban, it also tests American troops and exacts a civilian toll.

This is happening in Marjah, which theoretically should be a lot easier place to clear than an actual city like Kandahar. And keep in mind, we are still only in the clear phase in Marjah. Holding and building is still quite a distance away. 

I feel a bit like a broken record on this point, but if three months after the Marjah offensive we are still in the clear phase why would anyone believe that we are prepared for an offensive in Kandahar this summer? Indeed, what we've seen in Marjah is a puncturing of many of the myths underpinning the entire US mission in Afghanistan.

As Chivers article points out, the Taliban are a smart and resourceful enemy that relies on hit-and-run tactics to both harass US forces, but also effectively intimidate the local population. The lack of support from the Afghan government and the Afghan security services demonstrates that even if we can clear Marjah, we almost certainly can't hold it. We're not really protecting the population since our very presence in Marjah is causing the deaths of Afghan civilians - even if not at our hands. Indeed Chivers piece tells the story of an Afghan farmer named Muhammed who is caught in the crossfire between Taliban guerrilas and a Marine unit and shot. Ask yourself, would that farmer have been shot if we weren't in Marjah?

All of these problems are only going to be magnified when we go into Kandahar.

If we had unlimited time and unlimited resources then the US strategy for southern Afghanistan might actually work (a dubious proposition indeed, but work with me here). But we don't. We have significant limitations on what we can accomplish in Afghanistan; and there are a host of local and regional impediments to success - like a corrupt government in Kabul and an unmolested Taliban safe haven in Pakistan.

It's time for someone in a position of power (like say the President) to tell the generals to call off this ill-fated offensive in Kandahar and lay the groundwork for political negotiations before more American soldiers and innocent Afghans die.

And it's time for progressives to start demanding that he do it.

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