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March 11, 2010

More On Strategy . . .
Posted by Michael Cohen

Spencer Ackerman has offered a thoughtful response to my earlier post on the lack of strategic thinking emanating from the Obama Administration and his comments give me an opportunity to clarify my thoughts. Spencer, perhaps in a glass half full sort of way, sees a method to the Obama Administration's madness, but I think he tends to place far too much on emphasis on words rather than actions.

One can certainly argue that Bob Gates has talked about re-calibrating civilian and military elements of national security, but if you read between the lines what you might actually see is a Secretary of Defense calling for the military to maintain its primacy in national security decision-making. As I wrote over the summer in the pages of Dissent:
Secretary of Defense Gates caused a buzz in 2007 when he declared the need for a “dramatic increase in spending on the civilian instruments of national security.” But nowhere did he call for the Pentagon to shed any responsibilities. Indeed, in his next breath, Gates made clear “I’ll be asking for yet more money for Defense this year.” At the same time, he noted the incongruous sight of “field artillerymen and tankers building schools and mentoring city councils.” Gates remarked that these skills will need to be “institutionalized and retained” in the military. 
More recently, it's hard to square Obama's call for a changed mindset or even a modest and restrained foreign policy when you have the military's key planning document - the QDR - argue that the US seeks to prevent and deter conflict by, "Extending a global defense posture comprised of joint, ready forces forward stationed and rotationally deployed to prevail across all domains, prepositioned equipment and overseas facilities, and international agreements." This is a recipe of imperial overstretch and an effective long-term strategy process at the highest levels of government would hopefully point out how crazy this is and how disproportionate such a vast global military footprint is to actual US interests and the legitimate threats to our nation. 

But as I tried to point out earlier, there is no long-term strategic planning process in this Administration. I can't help but think that part of the reason for this is that Obama's foreign policy apparatus is manned by people who don't necessarily see what the QDR is suggesting as a bad thing.  (And for what it's worth, my understanding is that there are at least some folks at the highest levels of the NSC who recognize that this is a serious problem in need of immediate rectification).

And I have to say while Spencer is correct that Adminal Mullen has laid out "the early phase of the first vision for the responsible use of military force from a Joint Chiefs Chairman since Colin Powell" - that vision is, in my humble opinion, completely wrong. Look at what Mullen had to say:
We must not look upon the use of military forces only as a last resort, but as potentially the best, first option when combined with other instruments of national and international power. 

We must not try to use force only in an overwhelming capacity, but in the proper capacity, and in a precise and principled manner. And we must not shrink from the tug of war -- no pun intended -- that inevitably plays out between policymaking and strategy execution. Such interplay is healthy for the republic and essential for ultimate success.
I'm sorry, but to me this is pretty close to the mindset that got America involved in Iraq in the first place; the last thing America needs after the disaster of Iraq is a further loosening of the constraints on the use of military force.  If Mullen's view are reflective of the president's than I'm lot more depressed about the direction Obama is going to be taking American foreign policy.

And look Spencer may well be correct that "broad strategic constructs are taking form" but I just don't see it. I see a lot of discordant pieces and words that are being contradicted by actions. What I do see is an escalation in Afghanistan that only perpetuates the stranglehold that terrorism has over our foreign policy debates and a direct contradiction of the great speech that John Brennan gave last year in which he called for "the fight against terrorists and violent extremists" to be "returned to its right and proper place: no longer defining—indeed,distorting—our entire national security and foreign policy, but rather serving as a vital part of those larger policies." What I see is nibbling around the edges on defense spending; increased resources for civilian agencies and a rhetorical focus on development but none of the sort of big picture, systemic thinking that the country needs. 

I don't mean to sound like a party pooper here, because I think there are many things that the Obama folks have gotten right on foreign policy, but I come to this issue with the view that America desperately needs to re-think its national security strategy - to rebuild civilian agencies, de-emphasize the role of the military, rebuild the global governance architecture, define US interests less broadly and usher in a new restrained and more modest approach to foreign policy. Very little that I've seen so far makes me think that any of this is happening as quickly or as decisively as it should. But of course that's just one man's opinion - I'll be curious to hear what my blog mates and commenters think about all this . . 

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The dearth of civilian experts on military strategy is mainly the fault of academia. Military strategy is rarely taught in political science departments around the country. While in the new military history, that dominates the academic study of war, is mainly concerned with how the grunts feel on the ground and ignores the strategies of the generals and politicians. The universities need to listen more to the ailing Tony Judt about educating the leaders of tomorrow in areas such as the academically averse field of military strategy in order not to reapeat the mistakes of the past.

I would like to say the Europeans do free-ride on many of our international security efforts, and we should continually press them for more/better contributions. But most of what we do militarily in Europe today is in support of defending against contemporary threats, not against possible future violations of European borders. Those NATO countries that still worry about Russian designs remain reassured by a continued link to the United States that is provided by the North Atlantic Treaty. But that reassurance, which they do not get from EU membership, costs the United States very little under current circumstances.

But as I tried to point out earlier, there is no long-term strategic planning processa line western wedding dresses in this Administration. I can't help but think that part of the reason for this is that Obama's foreign policy apparatus is manned by people who don't necessarily see what the QDR is suggesting as a bad thing. (And for what it's worth,Gucci leather Duchessa Medium Boston Bag my understanding is that there are at least some folks at the highest levels of the NSC who recognize that this is a serious problem in need of immediate rectification).

And I have to say while Spencer is correct that Adminal Mullen has laid out "the early phase of the first vision for the responsible use of military force from a Joint Chiefs Chairman since Colin Powell" - that vision is, inLouis Vuitton PM Patch Agenda Cover my humble opinion, completely wrong. Look at what Mullen had to say:

We must not look upon the use of military forces only as a last resort, but as potentially the best, first option when combined with other instruments of national and international power.

We must not try to use force only in an overwhelming capacity, but in the proper capacity, and in a precise and principled manner. And we must not rolex air kingshrink from the tug of war -- no pun intended -- that inevitably plays out between policymaking and strategy execution. Such interplay is healthy for the republic and essential for ultimate success.

I'm sorry, but to me this is pretty close to the mindset that got America involved in Iraq in the first place; the last thing America needs after the disaster of Iraq is a further loosening of the constraints on thebuys montblanc pens use of military force. If Mullen's view are reflective of the president's than I'm lot more depressed about the direction Obama is going to be taking American foreign policy.

And look Spencer may well be correct that "broad strategic constructs are taking form" but I just don't see it. I see a lot of discordant pieces and words that are being contradicted by actions. What I do see is an escalation in Afghanistan that only perpetuates the stranglehold that terrorism has over our foreign policy debates and a direct contradiction of the great speech that John Brennan gave last year in which he called for "the fight against terrorists and violent extremists" to be "returned to its right and proper place: no longer defining—indeed,tiffany gold accessoriesdistorting—our entire national security and foreign policy, but rather serving as a vital part of those larger policies." What I see is nibbling around the edges on defense spending; increased resources for civilian agencies and a rhetorical focus on development but none of the sort of big picture, systemic thinking that the country needs.

Now as I argued in Newsweek a good part of the problem with our dysfunctional strapless ball gown wedding dressespolitical system is that the Republican party has become a party of nihilists (I also complained that Democrats were spineless and voters incoherent). This seemed to offend a few folks, here and here. But I'd be curious if those individuals could find another explanation for the curious Gucci Lg Bamboo Ring Walletbehavior of one Jim Bunning.

You see the SenatorLouis Vuitton Pochette Cancun from Kentucky has been single-handedly holding up emergency legislation that would extend unemployment insurance, COBRA benefits and other critical benefits for 30 days to working Americans.

As a result,rolex watch series according to the National Employment Law Project "nearly 1.2 million jobless workers will become ineligible for benefits by the end of March." Nice going Jim!

But there's more! Dozens of transportation projects were halted (here's a list); 2,000 employees at the US Department of Transportation were furloughed; and apparently up to 1.5 million Americans won't be able introduction of mont blancto watch local stations (ok so maybe that isn't all bad). Here's a further list of all the ways that small businesses are being hurt . . . oh and did I mention that doctors are getting screwed too. (H/T to Steve Benen for all the helpful links).

And why is Jim Bunningfake tiffany jewellery doing this - because this $10 billion package doesn't abide by pay-as-you-go spending rules, which are intended to rein in the growing budget deficit.

How would "defining US interests less broadly" look to you in practice? Do you agree with Thomas Jefferson's lapidary phrase that the US is an "empire of liberty?" Do you buy into his formulation of American exceptionalism? If not, then it's easy to see what these "less broad" US interests would look like: something like Greece's or France's (according to Obama also exceptional) interests. Is this what you're proposing here?

Remember that the US's traditional free market republican ideology requires indefinite expansion to be effective. It's a global ideology, which is exactly why we have clashed with slavery, Nazism, Communism in the past. These are contrasting global ideologies. This is also why we are in a fight with Islamic jihadism today. Islam is also a global ideology.

In the case of the historical global ideologies that we have fought down, there is no doubt in my mind that the world is a better place because of our so-called imperial overreach. In other words, there is no doubt in my mind about American exceptionalism. In the case of the present conflict as well, there is no doubt in my mind the the world will be a better place when we defeat Islamic jihadism.

Therefore, there is no doubt in my mind that "Extending a global defense posture comprised of joint, ready forces forward stationed and rotationally deployed to prevail across all domains, prepositioned equipment and overseas facilities, and international agreements" is correctly in line with our national security doctrine as it has been formulated and executed from Jefferson's days (remember the Barbary Pirate war, our first conflict with Islamic radicalism) to GW Bush. What we need is to update this and evolve to meet today's challenges, not back down into something like Greek and French exceptionalism.

The current US strategic military policies, unique in the world, have in fact made the US less secure in several ways, but principally financially and more susceptible to terrorism.

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But as I tried to point out earlier, there is no long-term strategic planning process in this Administration. I can't help but think that part of the reason for this is that Obama's foreign policy apparatus is manned by people who don't necessarily see what the QDR is suggesting as a bad thing. (And for what it's worth, my understanding is that there are at least some folks at the highest levels of the NSC who recognize that this is a serious problem in need of immediate rectification).
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