Fareed Zakaria Travels to Foggy Afghanistan
Posted by Patrick Barry
Fareed Zakaria enters the Afghanistan foray to take a crack at his own version of what the U.S. strategy should be, and in spite of the pretty bad misquote of Admiral Mullen (Hint - "In Afghanistan, we do what we can. In Iraq, we do what we must"), it's worth reading. I'm not sure you will see anything new here in terms of policy (5 principles - using COIN effectively, bolstering Afghanistan's Gov't, getting the timing right, talking to the Taliban and pressuring Pakistan), but Zakaria has good insights into how these recommendations cohere:
It is not that we don't have other goals—education, female literacy, centralized control of government services, drug eradication, liberal democracy. But many of them are objectives that will be realized over very long stretches of time, and should not be measured as part of military campaigns or political cycles. They are also goals that are not best achieved by military force. The U.S. Army is being asked to do enough as it is in Afghanistan. Helping it stay focused on a core mission is neither cramped nor defeatist. It is a realistic plan for success.
One thing that is somewhat absent from Zakaria's analysis is a region-wide diplomatic strategy. Yes, he sort of gets at it by stating that, difficult as it may be, reducing tensions between India and Pakistan is central to stabilizing Afghanistan. But the truth is that Afghanistan has come to contain a much broader, and more diverse set of regional challenges than Zakaria's piece acknowledges. Some examples of this are Iran's activities in the region, especially among the Tajik population, and the evidence that Russia's policy of projecting influence includes taking greater ownership over affairs in the former Soviet satellite states to Afghanistan's north. If there is any hope for rescuing Afghanistan, it is going to hinge on taking all the regional players, whose agendas up to this point have sharply diverged, and aligning them in support of a common goal. And that is a very, very tall order.
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As far as I know Fareed Zakaria says the Mumbai terrorists were probably targeting Indians, not westerners.He doubts an al-Qaeda connection....
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