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October 07, 2008

McCain's Reckless Response to Russia
Posted by Patrick Barry

It's a bit duplicitous for John McCain to say that he is the candidate who knows when to intervene and when not to, when in the wake of the Russia-Georgia crisis, McCain's knee-jerk response was to rattle the saber at Russia, before there was any clarity at all to the situation. Without regard for the consequences, McCain made a declaration - "we are all Georgians" - that in a more sensitive context could have been construed as a declaration of war.   His position has been rebuffed by virtually the entire national security community as hasty, or worse, as jeopardizing more vital national security concerns. 

For more, see below:

McCain’s response to Russia – without waiting for the facts -- was reckless and dangerous, another example of how his foreign policy would be more “aggressive” than Bush. “McCain took a remarkably — and uniquely — more aggressive stance, siding clearly with Georgia’s pro-Western leaders and placing the blame for the conflict entirely on Russia.” McCain’s statement “put him more closely in line with the moral clarity and American exceptionalism projected by President Bush’s first term.” He went on to state that “I know I speak for every American when I say to him today, we are all Georgians.” [Politico, 8/10/08.  CBS, 8/12/08]

McCain has attacked Obama for not being aggressive in his response, yet Obama’s initial response was in line with almost all world leaders, including George Bush.
  “While virtually every other world leader called for calm in Georgia last Thursday morning, John McCain did something he’s done many times over his career in public life: He condemned Russia…though neither he nor any other leader has suggested that the West has any real way to blunt Moscow’s ultimate intentions. He’s also faced the accusation that his encouragement of Georgia’s dramatic defiance of Russia helped trigger the crisis.” [Politico, 8/13/08]

The conflict was more complicated than how McCain portrayed it. “According to the Republican presidential candidate, ‘today we are all Georgians.’ Actually, the events of the past week in Georgia have little in common with either Hitler's dismemberment of Czechoslovakia on the eve of World War II or Soviet policies in Eastern Europe. They are better understood against the backdrop of the complicated ethnic politics of the Caucasus, a part of the world where historical grudges run deep and oppressed can become oppressors in the bat of an eye… When it comes to apportioning blame for the latest flare-up in the Caucasus, there's plenty to go around. The Russians were clearly itching for a fight, but the behavior of Georgian president Mikheil Saakashvili has been erratic and provocative. The United States may have stoked the conflict by encouraging Saakashvili to believe that he enjoyed American protection, when the West's ability to impose its will in this part of the world is actually quite limited.” [Washington Post, 8/17/08]

McCain has on numerous occasions called for kicking Russia out of the G-8 – an idea that would almost certainly lead to a new Cold War and preclude any cooperation on key non-proliferation issues. In a Foreign Affairs article published late last year, McCain advocated kicking Russia out of the G-8: “Today, we see in Russia diminishing political freedoms, a leadership dominated by a clique of former intelligence officers, efforts to bully democratic neighbors, such as Georgia, and attempts to manipulate Europe's dependence on Russian oil and gas. We need a new Western approach to this revanchist Russia. We should start by ensuring that the G-8, the group of eight highly industrialized states, becomes again a club of leading market democracies: it should include Brazil and India but exclude Russia.” McCain repeated this suggestion in his Los Angeles World Foreign Affairs Council speech that the G-8 should “include India and Brazil, but exclude Russia.” [Foreign Affairs, 11-12/07.   McCain, 3/26/08]

5 former Secretaries of State disagreed with the McCain position on Russia, cautioned for a more moderate approach.  Former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger warned that U.S.-Russia relationship is too important to sacrifice over situation in Georgia.  “We have a number of common issues that we have to settle, if possible, with Russia.  We need Russia for a solution of the Iranian problem.  We may need Russia if Pakistan evolves in some of the directions that it might.  And it is helpful to cooperate with Russia not just on the [nuclear] question, but on the issues of energy.  It is an effort that should not be decided by what happened in Georgia.”  Former Secretary of State James Baker echoed those remarks, saying: “Look at it in a strategic context and not tactically…we have some big-picture issues that we need to be conscious of when we think about our future with Russia, and we ought to cooperate with them where we can, where they fit.”  Kissinger and former Secretary of State George Schultz were even more explicit, arguing together that “[t]his drift toward confrontation needs to be ended.” [CNAS, 9/15/08. NPR, 9/23/08 Chicago Tribune, 10/01/08]

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