Iraq in 30 Seconds Posted by Moira Whelan

News has been coming fast out of Iraq, and folks are collecting information and trying to decipher what is going on. At this time, most analysts are saying the situation is unclear. One contact of mine working in Iraq gave this quick assessment which is interesting:

Best case scenario: the Iraqi central government seizes this opportunity to demonstrate strength and unity. They hold strong and isolate the problems in Basra. They gain confidence going forward, but ultimately 1/3 of Iraq becomes ungovernable.

Worst case scenario: the Iraqi central government and the military do not step up, and all hell breaks lose. 

I’m not saying this is absolute, but bottom line, I think “bleak” is a good description at this point.

Comments

[Wendell]

How about this:

Most likely scenario: Central government institutions underperform badly. Most Iraqi forces underperform, in varying degrees of badly. Maliki extends the (here, "turn-in-your-weapons") period, hoping no one notices the lack of follow-through (that's already happened once). Sadr ends up politically strengthened. Some kind of result, that simply pushes the can down the road, is, eventually, either negotiated or just uneasily happens--way, way, way later than expected. And, in the meantime, more misery, more rubble, more dead.

I'm by no means an Arabic-speaker or Iraq- or FP-expert. But this has been the "rinse, repeat" scenario time after time after time there. You almost never go wrong betting on it--or basing your expectations on it.

Sorry if this sounds jaded or cynical. But seriously, how many times has this been wrong in major, consequential ways?

[cheap silkroad gold]

They supply silkroad gold in low price. I usually buy
sro gold from them.
silkroad online goldThey have regualar customer service.
I like silk road gold.

[warcraft gold]

I am so glad to receive some wow gold and the World of Warcraft Gold is as my birthday gift. Some of the warcraft gold is very important for me that I will buy wow gold to go into the net game freely because the gold is the key to the game.

[cheap Perfect World Gold]

I am so happy to get some Perfect World Gold and the Perfect World Silver is given by my close friend

[dd]

I hope i can get Sho Online Mun in low price,
Yesterday i bought Sho Mun for my friend.

[LOTRO Gold]

Do want to know the magic of online games, and here you can get more LOTRO Gold. Do you want to have a try? Come on and Lord Of The Rings Gold can make you happy.

[Miu Miu Handbags]

I hope i can get Sho Online Mun in low price

[fake Bvlgari Cuff Links]

I hope i can get Sho Online Mun in low price

[luxury watches]

I am so with you,rolex watch
luxury watch

[watches]

The sterile dial with its very legible hands and large numerals is fantastic to use, and a breeze to read in low light conditions. There is no chapter ring -- just a stainless steel space between the dial and domed sapphire crystal.The crystal features an internal anti-reflective coating that does successfully lessen the effects of glare. The domed shape of the crystal meets flush against the bezel and, while it is a small detail, the tight fit will prevent nicks in the edge of the crystal and lint or dust from taking up residence in the space. The Moray is powered by the excellent Miyota 8215 automatic movement seen in many Citizen automatics and it gives the Moray a 45 hour power reserve and handwind capability. On my wrist after a few weeks of wear, the Replica Pulsar Watches was running just about 5-7 seconds fast over a given day, spending its nights in a display case facing dial up. This is very close to COSC timing and is very similar to the Halios Holotype which uses the same movement. I wore the Moray exclusively for weeks and can attest that it is veryaccurate, sturdy, and fits easily under all of my sleeves (including Replica Locman Watches). The Moray does exhibit the same rotor noise found in almost allMiyota based Replica Haurex Watches (when you move your wrist fast enough, you willlikely hear the rotor spinning inside the case).The Benarus Moray is nearly sold out in all configurations; only the PVD with the British Racing Green (BRG) dial is Raymond Watches, and it is selling for $550 USD. It has been an big success for Benarus, and is well regarded on many collectors forums. The rare mix of vintage style, simplicity, 500m water resistance, and a great price point made the Moray a fast seller.The Moray has quickly become one of my favorite Replica Hugo Boss Watches. Benarus customer service has been great and subjectively the styling is nearly perfect for my taste in Replica Invicta Watches. After about a month of ownership, I have no complaints or warnings with the Benarus Moray; it is a Replica Rotary Watches, very robust, and beautifully built.By James Stacey » For updates on content, follow Watch Report on Twitter.Replica Officina Del Tempo and Replica Mauboussin Watches.

[tiffany and co]

Measure out a good length of wire line or Links of London Letters, if the balls are larger, leather or cotton cord. Should be enough to wrap around your neck than 5 inches. If you are using wire, slide a bead embedded in one end and a part of clasp. Pass the cable through the securing of accounts, adjust, and then flatten the Links of London Sale with crimping pliers. Trim the tail of wire. String accounts. If you want a symmetrical pattern, start with the Links of London Pendants and add segments on each side. Add the second part of the hook or, if you are using a snap hook Should silver jewelry be plated? Silver coating can be done with rhodium, white gold, yellow gold and platinum, even. Another thing you should know when to buy silver Links of London online may no longer be done by hand or machine. Of course, pieces of handmade silver are priced much higher than machine-made counterparts because more value is placed on the works of human hands.