What I Meant to Say
Posted by Ilan Goldenberg
It strikes me that my previous post was unfair to Colin Kahl. He has been studying this issue seriously for four years, has an extensive background in counterinsurgency strategy and of course his views deserve to be heard, debated and not dismissed out of hand simply because he doesn't speak Arabic. Here's what I should have said.
I have written many times in the past on Democracy Arsenal about my frustration that nobody ever listens to the Arabists (No one did in 2002 and 2003 even though there was pretty much universal skepticism amongst that group regarding the war). My basic concern is that to get this right we need to include the views of the counter insurgency experts, the military experts and the Arabists. And I think specifically regarding internal Iraqi politics, the Arabists are the best equipped to answer those questions. That doesn't mean they should be dictating counterinsurgency and military strategy. But I do think that the question of Iraqi politics is the big blind spot in the Kahl plan and more broadly in the entire "bottom up" approach that is being pursued by Petraeus. I think there is almost universal skepticism among the Arabists about whether or not "bottom up" political reconciliation could actually work. I think they have unique insights into this question. I think Marc Lynch effectively demonstrated those insights during the debate and I think it is important to note that.
That doesn't mean that Kahl's views shouldn't be taken seriously and discussed and addressed on the merits.
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