1973 or 1968 Posted by Heather Hurlburt

I wrote quickly this morning about the Iraq Study Group report and how it put me in mind of Vietnam in 1973.  As it happened, I ran into Mort Halperin at a meeting, and he assured me that we were only in 1968.  He recalled that in '68, the same day the "Wise Men" convened by Clark Clifford called for a US withdrawal, Johnson had a cable sent to our allies assuring them that the US would, instead, be sending more troops.  And of course, US involvement would continue seven more years and casualties would more than double.  Everything including public opinion moves faster now, though.  Right?

Interestingly, it's Rowan Scarborough in the Washington Times who made the Wise Men analogy yesterday.

Mort pledged to blog about this in more detail, so this post is just a little goad to hope he does...

Comments

[Don Bacon]

Heather,
I go with you on 1973, not 1968.

In 1968 there was the TET offensive and it was an election year. Not applicable, the wise men notwithstanding.

In 1973 there were the Paris Peace Accords which called for US withdrawal (Kissinger got the Nobel for that--really!!) and Watergate, which doomed President Nixon. Then in 1974 Congress cut off funds and soon the South Vietnamese Army stood alone against the North Vietnamese legions. The last US helicopter left Saigon on April 29, 1975.

We've seen (1) the ISG calls for withdrawal, (2) the dooming of Bush in the headlines and in the polls. I expect (hope) we'll see some limitations on funding within a year. The last helicopter from Baghdad within a couple of years isn't such a remote possibility when one considers our vulnerabilities. In other words, with (as you said) public opinion moving faster now, I can't see this going on for seven more years. Cheez, I certainly hope not.

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