The Democracy Promotion Backlash (and the The Need for a "Third Way")
Posted by Shadi Hamid
Suffice it to say that I knew the backlash had begun, and it
was to rage with increasing ferocity. I look back now and wonder if I had seen
it coming. Perhaps it was inevitable, for there was too much at stake. When
ambition exceeds ability, the results can be disorienting, if not outright destructive.
This, I worry, is what happened to our post-9/11 efforts, however halting, to promote
democracy in the Arab world. The tipping point was Hamas’s shocking victory in the
Palestinian elections. But the doubts regarding the wisdom of an assertive
pro-democracy posture had surfaced long before in the wake of a series of substantial
Islamist electoral gains in
Unfortunately, because of its
destructive policies elsewhere, this novel (and useful) understanding of the
relationship between terror and democracy was sullied (in the eyes of many
liberals) through guilt by association. More problematic was the inability of the Bush administration to live up to its lofty rhetoric. The gap between what we said and what we did grew only more striking with time. Indeed, President Bush has become the anti-Midas
of our time. A good message has been tainted, in some circles irrevocably, by a
bad messenger.
But while many liberals, in response to Bush’s heightened Wilsonian appeals, had descended into a curious mix of neo-isolationism and careful Scrowcroftian cynicism, there remained a consensus of sorts in DC political circles that promoting Arab democracy was a worthwhile and urgent concern. It seems like an eternity ago but last November, I wrote on this blog about what I termed “the emerging democratic consensus.” There was, it appeared, an emerging, if reluctant, consensus among both Democrats and Republicans, that there was a causal relationship between lack of democracy and terrorism. We could not win the war on terror without, first, defeating the authoritarian status quo which had poisoned Arab politics and contributed to the rise of religous extremism.
Realism gets fewer of my cousins killed.
Posted by: Angryman | March 27, 2006 at 12:36 PM
The recent win of Hamas in the Palestinian elections has created a hilarious spectacle of hypocrisy in Washington, akin to that of 1991 following the Algerian elections. The "democratic consensus" about the desirability of democracy in the Middle East was bound to blow up in the faces of American foreign policy makers. One cannot speak of democracy and then deny a people its right to choose the leaders that they want. This "proxy democracy" is like saying that American voters (or their semi-legitimately elected leaders) will choose Iraq's, Afghanistan's and Palestine's leaders for them.
But this is the necessary first reaction to opening the floodgates of "democracy." If the US can avoid being too trigger happy about aborting these democratic experiments, after a few more rounds of elections we will see that some interesting things have happened. The islamists will become moderated while in power because of the exigencies of governing. And those who don't adapt to political incumbency will commit political suicide and cease to exist in the next round or two.
But this scenario can only be expected if something happens in Washington and Tel Aviv to improve the American image problem, or at least make daily occupation a bit less untolerable for Palestinians and Iraqis. Because as long as their misery can be attributed directly to falling bombs and missiles "made in the USA," no Islamist government will have to take the blame for anything that goes wrong.
Posted by: moimismo | March 28, 2006 at 02:12 AM
" One cannot speak of democracy and then deny a people its right to choose the leaders that they want. "
Sure you can! I support their right to choose their government, and now that we see WHAT they have choosen, we know exactly where they stand. No more BS, now we can wipe them off the face of the earth.
Posted by: John Anders | March 28, 2006 at 04:08 PM
Such a wonderful idea, John. In fact, since you seem to have such fondness for big and nasty weapons, I personally volunteer you to be strapped to our next big experimental bomb. When the testers see how many bits you've been blown into, we'll have great on-the-ground results to guide our weapons program.
Posted by: Vassarian | March 28, 2006 at 04:48 PM
According to everything I've read about the Algerian Islamists, there wouldn't have been 'a few more elections', or any more, had they been allowed to stay in power.
Posted by: David Tomlin | March 31, 2006 at 07:48 AM
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